پژوهش های روابط بین الملل

پژوهش های روابط بین الملل

جنگ تجاری آمریکا و چین؛ تأثیرات آن بر روابط ایران و چین

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشکده حقوق الهایت و علوم سیاسی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
2 دانشیار گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشکده حقوق الهایت و علوم سیاسی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران(نویسنده مسئول).
3 دانشیار گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشکده حقوق الهایت و علوم سیاسی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
چکیده
در سال‌های اخیر شاهد رشد اقتصادی و نظامی چین بوده‌ایم. استراتژی کلان چین همواره بر سیاست‌هایی برای بدل‌شدن به یک قدرت جهانی تأکید دارد. سیاست‌های چین ابتدا حول‌ محور بی‌ارزش ساختن نظم منطقه‌ای ساخته‌شده توسط آمریکا، دوم در تلاش برای شکل‌دادن به نظم منطقه‌ای جدید و قدرت‌گرفتن در منظقه و اتخاذ سیاست گسترش و پیشی‌گرفتن از آمریکا بوده است. تلاش‌های چین برای برهم‌زدن موازنه قدرت نظامی و اقتصادی به تیرگی روابط آمریکا و چین انجامید و در نهایت منجر به شروع جنگ تجاری در سال ٢٠١٨ شد. با شروع جنگ تجاری، آینده روابط سیاسی و اقتصادی چین و آمریکا در هاله‌ای از ابهام قرار گرفت. چین نه تنها باید به دنبال جایگیزن‌کردن بازارهای مصرفی‌اش باشد، بلکه می‌تواند با قدرت‌بخشیدن به روابط سیاسی، اقتصادی و نظامی‌اش با کشورهای منطقه، نه تنها برنامه یک کمربند یک جاده خود را تقویت کند، بلکه با نزدیکی به کشورهای نفت‌خیز، امنیت انرژی خود را نیز تأمین نماید. بنابراین آیا می‌توان متصور شد با تیرگی روایط بین چین و آمریکا، رابطه ایران و چین نزدیک‌تر می‌شود؟ با بهره‌گیری از رویکردی تبیینی-تحلیلی و کاربست نظریۀ سازه‌انگاری، مطابق فرضیۀ این پژوهش، شباهت‌ها و نیازهای سیاسی، اقتصادی و نظامی ایران و چین می‌تواند عامل مهمی در شکل‌گیری ائتلاف بین دو کشور باشد چرا که ایران می‌تواند از حمایت چین برای پیشبرد اهداف خود استفاده کند و در نقطه مقابل چین هم می‌تواند از ایران برای تأمین امنیت انرژی، پیشبرد برنامه یک کمربند و یک جاده و نیرویی برای مقابله با سیاست‌های پیشروی آمریکا در منطقه استفاده کند.
کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله English

United States and China's Trade War: The Effects on Iran-China Relations

نویسندگان English

Leila Ghaffarzadeh 1
Kayhan Barzegar 2
Majid Tavassoli Roknabadi 3
1 Department of Political Science and International Relations, Faculty of Law, Theology and Political Science, science and research Branch, Islamic Azad university, Tehran, Iran
2 Department of Political Science and International Relations, Faculty of Law, Theology and Political Science, science and research Branch, Islamic Azad university, Tehran, Iran
3 Department of Political Science and International Relations, Faculty of Law, Theology and Political Science, science and research Branch, Islamic Azad university, Tehran, Iran
چکیده English

In recent years, we have witnessed the economic, military, and technological growth of China, emerging as a new power. China's overarching strategy has consistently emphasized its aspirations to become a global power and surpass the United States. Its policies have revolved around deconstructing the values and established norms created by the United States, creating and shaping new regional orders, and ultimately expanding its influence and outpacing the US. China's efforts to upset the balance of military and economic power culminated in the initiation of a trade war in 2018, casting uncertainties over the future political and economic relations between China and the US. China not only needs to seek alternative consumer markets but can also strengthen its Belt and Road Initiative by enhancing political, economic, and military relations with regional countries. Additionally, by establishing closer ties with oil-rich nations, China can secure its energy interests. Consequently, one might question whether the deteriorating relationship between China and the US will bring Iran and China closer together. By adopting an interpretative-analytical approach and utilizing the theoretical framework of structuralism, this study hypothesizes that similarities and political, economic, and military needs between Iran and China can be significant factors in shaping a coalition between the two countries. Iran can leverage China's support to advance its own objectives, while China can rely on Iran to ensure energy security, advance the Belt and Road Initiative, and counter America's progressive policies in the region.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Trade War
United States of America
China
Iran
Political Economy
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