پژوهش های روابط بین الملل

پژوهش های روابط بین الملل

جنگ ترکیبی در منازعات معاصر: بررسی راهبردها و پیامدهای جنگ ترکیبی روسیه علیه گرجستان

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 استادیار روابط بین الملل دانشگاه بوعلی سینا. همدان. ایران
2 دانشجوی دکتری روابط بین‌الملل دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران.
10.22034/irr.2025.511584.2679
چکیده
در سال‌های اخیر، ظهور جنگ ترکیبی به‌عنوان الگویی نوین در راهبردهای امنیتی، ماهیت منازعات بین‌المللی را با پیچیدگی‌های تازه‌ای مواجه کرده است. جنگ ترکیبی، راهبردی چندلایه و تلفیقی است که با بهره‌گیری هم‌زمان از ابزارهای نظامی، اطلاعاتی، سایبری، اقتصادی، دیپلماتیک و تبلیغاتی، ساختارهای سیاسی و امنیتی کشور هدف را بدون ورود به جنگ تمام‌عیار تضعیف می‌کند. این الگو به‌ویژه در سیاست خارجی روسیه پس از فروپاشی شوروی، جایگاه ویژه‌ای یافته است. با این ملاحظه، سوال اصلی پژوهش حاضر این است که جنگ ترکیبی به‌عنوان الگویی نوین در منازعات معاصر، چه ویژگی‌هایی دارد و راهبردها و پیامدهای کاربست آن توسط روسیه چه تأثیری بر امنیت ملی و وضعیت سیاسی گرجستان داشته است؟ پژوهش حاضر با بهره‌گیری از روش بررسی تاریخی مورد بررسی واقع شده و داده‌ها از منابع مکتوب و برخط گردآوری شده‌اند. بر اساس یافته‌ها، جنگ ترکیبی به‌عنوان الگویی نوین در منازعات معاصر، رویکردی چندبعدی و هم‌افزا دارد که با تلفیق ابزارهای نظامی و غیرنظامی، متعارف و نامتعارف، در پی تحقق اهداف ژئوپلیتیکی است. روسیه از جنگ ترکیبی به‌عنوان ابزاری چندوجهی برای اعمال فشارهای سیاسی، نظامی و روانی بر کشورهایی استفاده می‌کند که به سمت نهادهای غربی گرایش یافته‌اند. در این چارچوب، گرجستان به دلیل موقعیت ژئوپلیتیکی خاص و تلاش برای پیوستن به ناتو و اتحادیه اروپا، به یکی از اهداف اصلی راهبرد جنگ ترکیبی روسیه تبدیل شده است. استفاده از منازعات حل‌نشده در اوستیای جنوبی و آبخازیا، عملیات روانی، نفوذ اطلاعاتی، مداخلات انتخاباتی و حملات سایبری، از جمله ابزارهایی است که روسیه برای بی‌ثبات‌سازی دولت گرجستان به‌کار برده است.
کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله English

Hybrid Warfare in Contemporary Conflicts: Examining the Strategies and Consequences of Russia’s Hybrid War Against Georgia

نویسندگان English

Reza Rahmati 1
Hossein Emamverdi 2
1 Assistant Professor, International Relations, Bu Ali Sina University, Hamedan. Iran
2 PhD Candidate in International Relations University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
چکیده English

In recent years, the emergence of hybrid warfare as a novel paradigm in security strategies has added new layers of complexity to the nature of international conflicts. Hybrid warfare represents a multilayered and integrated strategy that simultaneously employs military, informational, cyber, economic, diplomatic, and propaganda tools to weaken the political and security structures of a target state without engaging in full-scale conventional warfare. This model has gained particular prominence in Russia's foreign policy following the collapse of the Soviet Union. Accordingly, the central question of this study is: What are the main characteristics of hybrid warfare as a modern conflict strategy, and how have Russia’s strategic applications of this model affected Georgia’s national security and political landscape? This research adopts a historical-analytical method, utilizing both written and online sources. The findings indicate that hybrid warfare, as an emerging pattern in contemporary conflicts, is inherently multidimensional and synergistic, combining conventional and unconventional, military and non-military tools to achieve geopolitical objectives., Russia has utilized hybrid warfare as a multifaceted means of exerting political, military, and psychological pressure on states that seek closer alignment with Western institutions. Due to its strategic geopolitical location and aspirations to join NATO and the European Union, Georgia has become a primary target of Russia’s hybrid strategy. Russia’s use of unresolved conflicts in South Ossetia and Abkhazia, psychological operations, information infiltration, electoral interference, and cyberattacks are among the key tools employed to destabilize the Georgian government.
Introduction
In recent decades, the transformation of security strategies has profoundly reshaped the nature of conflicts, shifting them from conventional and linear patterns to fluid, complex, and multidimensional modes of confrontation. Among these emerging paradigms, the notion of hybrid warfare has gained increasing prominence as a defining feature of twenty-first century conflict. Unlike traditional wars, hybrid warfare employs a coordinated and simultaneous use of military and non-military instruments, including cyber operations, information campaigns, economic pressure, diplomatic maneuvering, and the exploitation of ethnic and political divisions. This phenomenon challenges the conventional distinction between war and peace, hard and soft power, and military and political tools. While the Western discourse often interprets hybrid warfare as a destabilizing offensive strategy, Russian security doctrine frames it as a defensive mechanism to counter the encroachment of Western institutions into its traditional sphere of influence. This conceptual divergence highlights the contested and fluid nature of hybrid warfare, making it difficult to establish a single definition. Nevertheless, case studies provide a meaningful avenue to explore its operationalization. One of the most significant cases is the Russian strategy toward Georgia, a state whose geopolitical location and aspiration to join NATO and the European Union have made it a key target of Moscow’s hybrid tactics. Unresolved conflicts in Abkhazia and South Ossetia, combined with cyberattacks, disinformation, electoral interference, and economic coercion, illustrate how hybrid warfare can destabilize domestic politics and weaken national sovereignty without resorting to full-scale war. By analyzing this case, the study seeks to shed light on the broader strategic implications of hybrid warfare in contemporary international relations.
Methodology
This study employs a qualitative historical approach, drawing on primary and secondary written sources as well as online databases. The method involves systematic analysis of historical events, policy documents, and scholarly interpretations to identify patterns in the design and application of hybrid strategies by Russia against Georgia. Data triangulation ensures credibility and validity, while a case-based focus allows for a deeper contextual understanding of how hybrid warfare manifests in practice.
Theoretical Framework
The research situates hybrid warfare within the broader theoretical debates in international relations. From a realist perspective, war emerges as a structural consequence of an anarchic system and the struggle for power; hybrid warfare is therefore interpreted as an instrument for maximizing influence and countering rival hegemonic aspirations. Liberalism, by contrast, emphasizes the role of institutions, interdependence, and democratic norms, framing hybrid tactics as threats to the liberal order and rule-based cooperation. Constructivism highlights the significance of identities, norms, and narratives, arguing that hybrid warfare functions not only through material instruments but also through symbolic and discursive practices that shape perceptions of legitimacy and security. By combining these approaches, the study demonstrates that hybrid warfare cannot be reduced to a single theoretical lens. Rather, it embodies the interplay of material capabilities, institutional constraints, and ideational constructs that together inform the strategies of contemporary powers. This tripartite framework provides analytical leverage for understanding both the design and the impact of Russia’s hybrid warfare against Georgia.
Discussion
The findings show that hybrid warfare represents a deliberate synthesis of conventional and unconventional instruments to achieve geopolitical objectives at relatively low cost. Russia’s strategy toward Georgia exemplifies this multidimensionality. Militarily, Moscow has relied on indirect engagement through support for separatist forces in Abkhazia and South Ossetia, thereby entrenching its influence without overt occupation. Politically, it has pursued electoral interference, covert propaganda, and disinformation campaigns aimed at undermining public trust in democratic institutions. Economically, sanctions, energy leverage, and trade restrictions have been deployed to reinforce dependency and weaken resilience. In the cyber domain, large-scale operations have targeted government infrastructure, critical networks, and media outlets, generating both immediate disruption and long-term insecurity. The combination of these tactics has produced destabilization across multiple levels of Georgian society: weakening state authority, fragmenting social cohesion, and obstructing the country’s Euro-Atlantic aspirations. At the regional level, Russia has been able to contain Western influence in the South Caucasus by maintaining a permanent source of instability. This demonstrates that hybrid warfare is not an ad hoc tactic but a coherent grand strategy aligned with Moscow’s long-term objectives of securing its periphery and resisting NATO expansion. Importantly, the Georgian case also reveals the adaptability of hybrid strategies: Russia calibrates its tools according to local vulnerabilities, exploiting ethnic tensions, weak institutions, and geographic dependence to maximize leverage. These dynamics highlight both the effectiveness and the ethical ambiguity of hybrid warfare, which blurs the line between legitimate defense and covert aggression.
Conclusion
The study concludes that hybrid warfare constitutes one of the most significant innovations in contemporary security strategies. It redefines the conduct of war by integrating military, informational, economic, and political instruments into a synergistic framework that operates below the threshold of open conflict. From a realist standpoint, Russia’s use of hybrid warfare reflects its determination to preserve influence in its traditional sphere and prevent the integration of neighboring states into Western security institutions. From a liberal perspective, it undermines the principles of international law, cooperative security, and democratic governance. From a constructivist angle, it underscores the power of narratives, identities, and perceptions in legitimizing strategies that challenge sovereignty while avoiding overt confrontation. The case of Georgia demonstrates that hybrid warfare has tangible consequences for national security, regional stability, and global governance. It has weakened Georgia’s defense capabilities, impeded its integration into Euro-Atlantic structures, and generated long-term political instability. At the same time, it has enhanced Russia’s strategic position by consolidating its leverage over contested territories and curbing Western expansion. These findings suggest that hybrid warfare is likely to remain a central feature of international politics, not only in the post-Soviet space but also in broader geopolitical rivalries. For policymakers and scholars alike, understanding the mechanisms and implications of hybrid warfare is essential to developing effective responses that preserve stability and uphold international norms in an increasingly complex security environment.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Hybrid Warfare
Cyber Operations
Security Strategies
Russia
Georgia
 
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